New projections show COVID-19 growth accelerating in Ontario

  • New projections show COVID-19 growth accelerating in Ontario

New projections show COVID-19 growth accelerating in Ontario

The number of recovered Ontario COVID-19 cases Tuesday was 3,353, higher than the tally of new cases.

Projections from the province show that under current restrictions, daily deaths from the virus will double from 50 to 100 between now and the end of February.

The government says this order and other new and existing public health restrictions are aimed at limiting people's mobility and reducing the number of daily contacts with those outside an immediate household.

This same modelling has informed cabinet's debate about what kind of new measures to impose to try and reduce infections and deaths, and it includes a list of measures that have been tried in other jurisdictions: stay-at-home orders, the closure of non-essential retail, workplace shutdowns, compulsory masking outdoors, and testing blitzes are all listed as potential responses.

The new data shows the growth of COVID-19 is accelerating in Ontario, growing at seven per cent on the "worst days".

The full briefing can be read below.

On Tuesday, Premier Doug Ford announced the implementation of another state of emergency in the province and also issued a provincewide stay-at-home order. About one quarter of Ontario hospitals now have no ICU beds free while another quarter only have one or two beds available.

Ontario's associate medical officer of health Dr. Barbara Yaffe echoed the Premier, affirming on Monday that an overnight curfew was not among the many health and safety measures considered by the provincial government.

Non-essential construction is further restricted, including below-grade construction, exempting survey.

New public health measures, which include slightly reduced hours of operation for some essential and non-essential businesses, will come into effect on Thursday and will remain in place for 28 days. The death toll in the region is 226.

If we do hit the 5% level of growth, which is quite possible, we'll be looking at over 20,000 cases a day. Schools in Northern Ontario will continue to be open for in-person learning.

Students in the region have been learning from home since the week before the holiday break.

The province announced Tuesday that remote learning will continue in the region, as well as other COVID-19 hotspots such as Toronto and Hamilton, with students not returning to the classroom until at least February 10.

Emergency child care for school-aged children will end in approved PHU regions on January 22, 2021, as these elementary schools return to in-person learning.

"At the heart of our continued efforts to protect against the spread of COVID-19 in our communities is a firm commitment to return kids to school safely", said Education Minister Stephen Lecce, in a press release. "We aren't telling people they can't get out and walk their dog", the Premier said.

In conjunction with the Ministry of Long-Term Care and the Retirement Regulatory Authority, the Ministry is using a new data-sharing program to focus on onsite inspections of long-term-care homes and retirement homes.

To date, evidence gathered from COVID-19 related workplace inspections indicates that the vast majority of employers and workers are following COVID-19 safety requirements when working. "It's important to note that this is now spreading across all parts of the province".