Gold gains, focus shifts to central bank policy meetings

  • Gold gains, focus shifts to central bank policy meetings

Gold gains, focus shifts to central bank policy meetings

"We've had the trade-war boost last week, it's filtered through this week, and so markets are taking a bit of a breather", he said.

Kristensen expects the ECB to cut its key rate by 20 basis points to -0.6%, above the market consensus, and the Danish central bank to follow with a reduction in its key rate to -0.85% from -0.65%, where it has held since January 2016.

The bond moves come as market participants look toward Thursday's European Central Bank meeting, which is widely expected to deliver a cut to interest rates and point to further bond-buying stimulus.

"There was an expectation that the European Central Bank would be aggressive with easing", said Tom Simons, economist at Jefferies in NY.

"Bond markets have priced in much of the gloomy outlook and made assumptions that additional stimulus is going to be provided by the European Central Bank, so the scope for disappointment is there if the European Central Bank doesn't provide as much as desired", said Stewart Robertson, senior economist at Aviva Investors.

With interest rates plumbing record lows in many countries and the effectiveness of further bond-buying muted by already record-low borrowing costs for governments, attention has turned to increased public spending or tax cuts to fire up growth.

The three establishments, significantly the Fed, set monetary circumstances that affect rates of interest, alternate charges and capital flows worldwide, and all three are anticipated to loosen financial coverage after they meet over the subsequent eight days. Now, "if the European Central Bank further loosens the monetary policy reins, this could, in turn, step up pressure on the Fed to act".

The Fed's latest policy meeting concludes next week, on Wednesday, Sept. 18, when the US central bank is expected to reduce interest rates again by a quarter of a percentage point. The BOJ meets the subsequent day.

President Donald Trump pushed the Fed to cut interest rates to zero or into negative territory in a pair of Twitter posts on Wednesday.

It is a scenario that has created deep inner divisions on the European Central Financial institution, the Financial institution of Japan and the US Federal Reserve as officers debate tips on how to confront a world slowdown with restricted room to chop rates of interest, and with elected officers pursuing insurance policies which may be doing hurt, no less than within the brief run. The appetite for less conventional steps, like more aggressive bondbuying, is untested outside of crisis conditions in the United States, and remains controversial elsewhere.

Now, they're pulling the opposite means, significantly in the US the place efforts to guard native industries utilizing tariff and commerce restrictions, in line with many economists, have weighed on world development.

The focus on tradeable goods has made the politically sensitive issue of exchange rates more important. "Now it's in that little in-between stage - what's going to keep to keep that value going?"

Goldman Sachs analysts this week said the likely outcome, even with the expected Fed and other action, is a sort of sluggishness that may not involve a recession as much as subpar performance - a reminder that, even as some try to reverse decades of globalization, its influence remains. "We don't live in a bubble".