UK PM May's lead widens ahead of June 8 election - ORB poll

  • UK PM May's lead widens ahead of June 8 election - ORB poll

UK PM May's lead widens ahead of June 8 election - ORB poll

However, opinion polls in Britain have had a relatively poor track record recently, raising expectations that this election could again spring a surprise.

Should May's parliamentary majority be reduced and should she find that the Conservative Party's backbenches become increasingly peopled by Eurosceptic members, far from being strengthened, her Brexit negotiating position in Europe would be meaningfully weakened. Corbyn could barely hide his disapproval at the views being aired which was not a good look when one of Labour's weak spots is defence.

An average of polls collated by groups like Britain Elects shows a clear surge in support for Labour.

For the election to produce a majority government, the biggest party theoretically must win at least 326 seats of the 650 United Kingdom constituencies.

Theresa May's once-formidable lead has been eroded though her Conservative Party could still be on course to win a majority of seats in parliament.

When May announced the snap election in mid-April, analysts suggested that she was seeking a mandate to personally lead the country through its exit from the European Union.

The Tories' tax policies are being questioned because their program for government dropped a commitment, made in 2015, not to raise income tax, national insurance contributions or value-added tax, a sales tax. The close relationship that she boasted of at the time is less of an asset in the light of Trump's decision to withdraw from the climate deal, a deal broadly supported in the U.K. According to an Ipsos poll past year, 88% of respondents thought climate change was real, and 64% thought it was mainly caused by human activity.

At the Brighton Festival, yesterday (Thursday 1 June), he praised Jeremy Corbyn for going "to the grassroots" to transform his party ahead of the UK General Election on 8 June.

His words will be music to the ears of the Labour leader's supporters.

But things weren't so simple.

YouGov said May's lead was down to four percentage points, ICM said her lead had narrowed to 11 points from 14, Opinium said her lead had fallen to six percentage points from 19 points at the start of the campaign.

"Is the reason that you're doing so badly is that whenever people ask you about policy, all we get are cliches and platitudes?"

Here's how Corbyn and May answered the respective questions.

There were problems with the substance, too.

Labour's targeting of the disgruntled youth voters appears to be resonating with the British public and not only have the number of bets on Labour been considerably higher than the Conservative party, the number of younger bettors backing Corbyn's party is also a lot higher.

A quarter are satisfied with the Liberal Democrat leader (down 3 points) while 44% are dissatisfied (up 5 points).

The Tories' electoral campaigning has been criticized before for its aggressive targeting of left-wing voters and its attacks on the Labour leader.

There is a catch, however.

Labour is at 40%, a significant increase from the last month's Ipsos MORI poll, which put Jeremy Corbyn's party at 34% and the Tories at 49%.

May faced a string of awkward questions from members of the public on Friday, including a challenge from a nurse, Victoria Davey, who left the leader faltering after confronting her over the one per cent pay increase of NHS staff, the Guardian reported on Friday.

Polling companies went back to the drawing board after 2015, hoping to understand where they went wrong.

While the Conservatives insist that the two-year window for Article 50 talks is plenty of time to agree the financial terms of the Brexit divorce settlement and a successor trade deal, pundits on both sides of the Channel think this extremely optimistic.

Corbyn was later forced to defend Labour's manifesto as a "serious, well thought-out document" after a voter branded it "a letter to Santa Claus".